free picks

[gil]

oshit.ive forgot to post the most recent picks here.anyway we had another loser with toronto v bosox over,and now we're onto the royals v mariners,OVER 8.5 the bet is $90.40 to win $96.73.its looking good in the 3rd with 6 runs already.if i forget to post you can easily catch up on talkgold.com under the forums.

[gil]

another win.new bank $1612.64.again a tough choice for the first pick tomorrow.based on pitching,i will have to go with the Padres v Marlins OVER 9.the marlins have their 4th best pitcher out there,whereas the padres pitcher Latos is ranked number 11.(in their team!!)plus we have a push in the 9 total score.therefore odds here are 1.952 so bet $20.93 to win $19.93.

[gil]

unfortunately because of the slowness of this game,weve missed the start of the next games.a win nonetheless,so new bank $1632.57.next bet atlanta v phillies.runline is 9,again a hard one to call.phillies have been a bit quiet recently,and against the braves 2nd best pitcher might find it tough going.however theyve put their 15th best pitcher in,so might be a tad easier for the braves.hard one to call.i think i will go for the OVER,its about time the phillies put something together offensively.so odds here are 2.05 OVER 9,so bet $21.19 to win $22.25.the game we missed would have been KC v SEA OVER 7.

[gil]

i knew the phillies game would be hard,but as it was first in the 6 game,was ok.
next pick tennis.US open round 1.s.greul to beat g.lapentti.odds here are 1.962.bet $44.50 to win $42.81

[gil]

wow that one wasnt for the faint hearted.greul got there in the end,11-9 in the tiebreaker.new bank $1654.19.next game NYY v BAL OVER 10.odds here are 1.98,so bet $21.47 to win $21.04

[gil]

next pick tricky again.im tempted by the UNDER in the ARI v LAD game,with wolf pitching for the dodgers,its likely to be a low scoring game.however BECAUSE wolf is pitching,im going to go with LAD -1.5 runs.odds here are 2.24,so bet $45.09 to win $59.91.

[gil]

disappointing.next bet US open tennis.Viktor Troicki to beat P.Luczak.
troicki is well over 30 places above luczak in the atp rankings.odds are an attractive 2.04.bet $94.69 to win $98.48
another point to note is that luczak is a clay court player,and his best victory to date was against an ageing arnaud clement(who was ranked in the 80's at the time).im thinking the surface and the step up in class should be too much for him.

[gil]

well he came through in the end after giving up a 2 set lead.not sure what happened.anyway another win.new bank $1686.11.next bet Bosox v TB OVER 9.odds here are 2.07.bet $21.88 to win $23.41

[gil]

ok that was another winner.bank is $1709.52.i then followed up with KC v OAK OVER 9,which lost,which brings us up to date.incidentally because the KC game started when the bosox game had 9 runs scored(indicating a push minimum)i was forced to put on the next bet,and counted the game as a push,even though it went on to win.anyway the upshot is that a smaller amount was wagered for the KC game(not much difference tho!)anyway for the first game tomorrow,theres nothing jumping out at me in the MLB.all very tricky choices.so its back to the U.S.open.again,pretty lean pickings,however a bit of research has come up with the match between Y-H Lu and Tomas Bellucci.odds are exactly the same at 1.962.they have only met once before,at the australian open this year,where Lu ran out a straight sets winner.plus Lu's career earnings are twice that of bellucci.the fact that Lu beat him in a grand slam in their only previous occasion gives this bet some value.especially because it was straight sets.so in a morning of not much there,this seems the best bone to chew on.therefore bet is $46.58 to win $44.81.Y-H Lu to beat T.Bellucci.

[gil]

right just got back.looks like bellucci got his revenge.am checking current odds(i posted the odds waay earlier)and theyve gone down to 1.862.so bet $97.82 to win $84.32.lets get this cycle over and done with now.